Topic: | 【深度分析】亚裔美国人为什么是民主党人? |
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sunnyday 2014-05-01 09:50:56 MST |
Why Are Asian Americans Democrats? By ALEXANDER KUO, NEIL MALHOTRA and CECILIA HYUNJUNG MO March 18, 2014 3月份华府著名政治报刊POLITICO发表文章,解释为什么亚裔美国人更倾向于自我认同为民主党人。这一文章的根据是政治学的最新研究成果。文章指出了两个主要的发现:1,共和党的政治话语方式有白人至上主义,亚裔受到的社会待遇仍有不公平现象,这些因素让亚裔投票者疏远共和党人;2,政策问题的叙事角度,比如移民问题通常被宣传为亚裔与其他少数族裔的共同利益,也容易使亚裔美国人倾向于民主党。 In February, during the confirmation hearings for President Barack Obama’s nominee for U.S. surgeon general—Vivek Murthy, a British-born Indian American—Sen. Pat Roberts (R-Kan.) invited Murthy to his home state. “I’m going to invite you, because we have a lovely doctor from India,” Roberts said good-naturedly. “She’s in her mid-30s and she’s highly respected by the community. And another doctor from India who did a carpal tunnel when I did a stupid thing. And so, I think you’d be right at home, and we would welcome you.” Although Roberts probably did not intend to offend (his remarks were of the “I have plenty of friends who are Indian” variety) media outlets generally mocked the interaction. At the very least, it likely reminded Murthy that he is different than the white ethnic majority—some other kind of American. However harmless it might seem, this is exactly the sort of exchange that makes Asian Americans—the fastest growing ethnic group in the country—more likely to identify themselves as Democrats than Republicans, and by stunning margins. In the 2012 presidential election, Barack Obama won 73 percent of the Asian American vote, exceeding his support among Hispanics (71 percent) and women (55 percent). This striking statistic has caused a great deal of consternation among Republicans, who seem generally mystified as to what they might be doing wrong. It’s a puzzle with huge electoral ramifications. More than 16 million Asian Americans live in the United States today, making up 5 percent of the population and accounting for nearly 4 percent of all voters. They’re a sizeable voting bloc, but one far less understood than other groups, given that their political clout has only begun to emerge. The GOP’s confusion comes not only because, in 1992, Bill Clinton captured just 36 percent of the Asian American vote. It is also because Asian Americans as a group have certain characteristics that would ordinarily predict a Republican political affiliation, most strikingly their level of income, which on average, is higher than any other ethnic group in the United States. (According to the 2009 Current Population Survey, the median Asian household had a higher income, $65,469, than the median white household,$51,863; median black and Hispanic household incomes were $32,584 and $38,039, respectively.) Income, as shown by Andrew Gelman and his co-authors in their book Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State: Why Americans Vote the Way They Do, is one of the most powerful drivers of which political party someone prefers. Generally, the richer people are, the more likely they are to be Republicans. Other conservatives have pointed to less tangible characteristics of Asian Americans, such as an emphasis on discipline in child rearing and a penchant for entrepreneurship, that ought to make them Republicans. “If you are looking for a natural Republican constituency, Asians should define ‘natural’,” notes the American Enterprise Institute’s Charles Murray. “And yet something has happened to define conservatism in the minds of Asians as deeply unattractive.” The solidification of Asian Americans as a core Democratic constituency is not lost on liberal commentators either. Josh Barro, now a writer at the New York Times, wrote in December, “Asians have higher family incomes and education achievement than whites, and lower rates of out-of-wedlock birth. Republicans’ typical explanation of their poor performance with blacks and Hispanics (a policy platform that alienates groups disproportionately likely to depend on government services) cannot explain Republicans’ Asian gap.” So what does explain it? Why don’t Asian Americans lean right? Is it just because Asian Americans have more liberal policy positions, as a recent report by Phyllis Schlaffy points out? This answer is unsatisfying because it might get things backwards: Someone’s party identification is just as likely to explain their policy views (since people generally take cues from their party) as the other way around. Our research offers two alternative explanations. First, there’s race. The feeling of social exclusion stemming from their ethnic background might push Asian Americans away from the Republican Party. Many studies, like Henri Tajfel and John Turner’s work on the psychology of intergroup relations, have shown that one’s identification with a broad category of people—be it on the basis of language, ethnic or racial solidarity or some other trait—is important politically. Republican rhetoric implying that the (non-white) “takers” are plundering the (white) “makers” has cultivated a perception that the Republican Party is less welcoming of minorities. That might help explain why Asian Americans, despite their “maker” status, prefer the Democratic Party—even if the GOP doesn’t discriminate against Asians specifically. And many Asian-Americans do feel like they don’t get equal treatment. According to the 2008 National Asian American Survey, nearly 40 percent of Asian Americans suffered one of the following forms of racial discrimination in their lifetime: being unfairly denied a job or fired; unfairly denied a promotion at work; unfairly treated by the police; unfairly prevented from renting or buying a home; treated unfairly at a restaurant or other place of service; or been a victim of a hate crime. We found that self-reported racial discrimination was positively correlated with identification with the Democratic Party over the Republican Party. Read more: http://www.politico.com/magazine But correlation does not equal causation. To confirm the causal relationship, we conducted an experiment in a university laboratory in which both Asian Americans and white individuals were brought into the lab, and half of them were randomly subjected to a seemingly innocuous statement, such as being asked “Where were you born?” or being told “You speak good English.” These racial “microaggressions” are sadly common—see Roberts’s clueless remarks to Murthy—and carry the implied message that Asian Americans are not true Americans. In our lab, a white laboratory assistant made the comment to half the study subjects before asking them to fill out a survey on various political attitudes. Among those who did not receive this message, 76 percent of respondents identified as Democrats while 24 percent identified as Republicans. However, when prompted with the racial microaggression, 87 percent identified as Democrats and 13 percent identified as Republicans. This is a very large increase given how innocuous the message was, and the fact that it was only mentioned once. In fact, Asian Americans who were exposed to this race-based presumption of “not belonging” were more likely to view Republicans generally as close-minded and ignorant, and have more negative feelings toward them. Our findings suggest that Asian Americans associate feelings of social exclusion based on their ethnic background with the Republican Party. Our second finding is a little more complicated. It turns out that the political affiliation of Asian Americans is sensitive to how issues are framed. When Asian Americans are reminded of their shared political interests with other minorities, they are pushed to the left. We found evidence for this argument in the 2008 National Asian American Survey. To again get at causality, we conducted an experiment embedded in a national survey to corroborate this finding of the impacts of intergroup solidarity with African Americans and Hispanic Americans. We surveyed a large sample of Asian Americans and randomly assigned individuals to read different versions of a newspaper article that framed the important, high-impact issue of immigration in two different ways. One article focused on the impact of Arizona SB1070, a law that required police officers to ascertain people’s immigration status, indicating the common status of immigrants of Asian and Hispanic origin. Another article focused on how the current immigration reform debate can pit higher-skilled immigrants from Asia against lower-skilled immigrants from Latin America。 The result: When immigration was framed as an issue that teamed Hispanics and Asians together under the umbrella of common interest, 72 percent identified as Democrats and 28 percent as Republicans. But when immigration was framed as an issue that pitted Hispanics and Asians against each other, only 67 percent of Asians identified as Democrats and 33 percent as Republicans. Our findings of course do not mean that social exclusion and solidarity with other groups are the only reasons why Asian Americans are Democrats. Nor do these reasons necessarily explain the variation among immigrants from different Asian countries (Indian and Chinese Americans, for instance, are more Democratic than Vietnamese Americans). But they do shed new light on why Asian-Americans in general have moved sharply left in recent years. What can the GOP do to win them back? As long as Republicans appear scornful of minorities, our findings suggest, they will not get Asian Americans’ electoral support. This applies not only to rhetoric, but also to policy issues such as immigration reform. The Republican Party could try to capitalize on divisions between Asian Americans and other minorities, emphasizing how Democratic policies benefit other groups at their expense. But doing that successfully would require a level of political dexterity that Republicans haven’t shown much of late. Alexander Kuo is assistant professor of government at Cornell University. Neil Malhotra is associate professor of political economy at the Stanford Graduate School of Business. Cecilia Hyunjung Mo is assistant professor of political science at Vanderbilt University. Read more: http://www.politico.com/magazine | |
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